Daubert v. Merrell Dow Pharmaceuticals (92-102), 509 U.S. 579 (1993)
NOTE: Where it is feasible, a syllabus (headnote) will be released, as
is being done in connection with this case, at the time the opinion is
issued. The syllabus constitutes no part of the opinion of the Court
but has been prepared by the Reporter of Decisions for the convenience
of the reader. See United States v. Detroit Lumber Co., 200
U.S. 321,
337.
SUPREME COURT OF THE UNITED STATES
Syllabus
DAUBERT et ux., individually and as guardians and litem for DAUBERT,
et al. v. MERRELL DOW PHARMACEUTICALS, INC.
certiorari to the united states court of appeals for the ninth circuit
No. 92-102. Argued March 30, 1993 -- Decided June 28, 1993
Petitioners, two minor children and their parents, alleged in their suit
against respondent that the children's serious birth defects had been
caused by the mothers' prenatal ingestion of Bendectin, a prescription
drug marketed by respondent. The District Court granted respondent summary
judgment based on a well credentialed expert's affidavit concluding,
upon reviewing the extensive published scientific literature on the subject,
that maternal use of Bendectin has not been shown to be a risk factor
for human birth defects. Although petitioners had responded with the
testimony of eight other well credentialed experts, who based their conclusion
that Bendectin can cause birth defects on animal studies, chemical structure
analyses, and the unpublished "reanalysis" of previously published
human statistical studies, the court determined that this evidence did
not meet the applicable "general acceptance" standard for the
admission of expert testimony. The Court of Appeals agreed and affirmed,
citing Frye v. United States, 54 App. D. C. 46, 47,
293 F. 1013, 1014, for the rule that expert opinion based on a scientific
technique is inadmissible unless the technique is "generally accepted" as
reliable in the relevant scientific community.
Held: The Federal Rules of Evidence, not Frye, provide
the standard for admitting expert scientific testimony in a federal trial.
Pp. 4-17.
(a) Frye's "general acceptance" test was superseded
by the Rules' adoption. The Rules occupy the field, United States v. Abel, 469
U.S. 45,
49, and, although the common law of evidence may serve as an aid to their
application, id., at 51-52, respondent's assertion that they
somehow assimilated Frye is unconvincing. Nothing in theRules
as a whole or in the text and drafting history of Rule 702, which specifically
governs expert testimony, gives any indication that "general
acceptance" is a necessary precondition to the admissibility of
scientific evidence. Moreover, such a rigid standard would be at odds
with the Rules' liberal thrust and their general approach of relaxing
the traditional barriers to "opinion" testimony. Pp. 4-8.
(b) The Rules--especially Rule 702--place appropriate limits on the admissibility
of purportedly scientific evidence by assigning to the trial judge the
task of ensuring that an expert's testimony both rests on a reliable
foundation and is relevant to the task at hand. The reliability standard
is established by Rule 702's requirement that an expert's testimony pertain
to "scientific . . . knowledge," since the adjective "scientific" implies
a grounding in science's methods and procedures, while the word "knowledge" connotes
a body of known facts or of ideas inferred from such facts or accepted
as true on good grounds. The Rule's requirement that the testimony "assist
the trier of fact to understand the evidence or to determine a fact in
issue" goes primarily to relevance by demanding a valid scientific
connection to the pertinent inquiry as a precondition to admissibility.
Pp. 9-12.
(c) Faced with a proffer of expert scientific testimony under Rule 702,
the trial judge, pursuant to Rule 104(a), must make a preliminary assessment
of whether the testimony's underlying reasoning or methodology is scientifically
valid and properly can be applied to the facts at issue. Many considerations
will bear on the inquiry, including whether the theory or technique in
question can be (and has been) tested, whether it has been subjected
to peer review and publication, its known or potential error rate, and
the existence and maintenance of standards controlling its operation,
and whether it has attracted widespread acceptance within a relevant
scientific community. The inquiry is a flexible one, and its focus must
be solely on principles and methodology, not on the conclusions that
they generate. Throughout, the judge should also be mindful of other
applicable Rules. Pp. 12-15.
(d) Cross-examination, presentation of contrary evidence, and careful
instruction on the burden of proof, rather than wholesale exclusion under
an uncompromising "general acceptance" standard, is the appropriate
means by which evidence based on valid principles may be challenged.
That even limited screening by the trial judge, on occasion, will prevent
the jury from hearing of authentic scientific breakthroughs is simply
a consequence of the fact that the Rules are not designed to seek cosmic
understanding but, rather, to resolve legal disputes. Pp. 15-17.
951 F. 2d 1128, vacated and remanded.
Blackmun, J., delivered the opinion for a unanimous Court with respect
to Parts I and II-A, and the opinion of the Court with respect to Parts
II-B, II-C, III, and IV, in which White, O'Connor, Scalia, Kennedy, Souter,
and Thomas, JJ., joined. Rehnquist, C. J., filed an opinion concurring
in part and dissenting in part, in which Stevens, J., joined.
NOTICE: This opinion is subject to formal revision before publication
in the preliminary print of the United States Reports. Readers are requested
to notify the Reporter of Decisions, Supreme Court of the United States,
Wash ington, D.C. 20543, of any typographical or other formal errors,
in order that corrections may be made before the preliminary print goes
to press.
Opinion of the Court
Justice Blackmun delivered the opinion of the Court.
Petitioners Jason Daubert and Eric Schuller are minor children born with
serious birth defects. They and their parents sued respondent in California
state court, alleging that the birth defects had been caused by the mothers'
ingestion of Bendectin, a prescription anti nausea drug marketed by respondent.
Respondent removed the suits to federal court on diversity grounds.
After extensive discovery, respondent moved for summary judgment, contending
that Bendectin does not cause birth defects in humans and that petitioners
would be unable to come forward with any admissible evidence that it
does. In support of its motion, respondent submitted an affidavit of
Steven H. Lamm, physician and epidemiologist, who is a well credentialed
expert on the risks from exposure to various chemical substances. [1]
Doctor Lammstated that he had reviewed all the literature on Bendectin
and human birth defects--more than 30 published studies involving over
130,000 patients. No study had found Bendectin to be a human teratogen
(i.e., a substance capable of causing malformations in fetuses).
On the basis of this review, Doctor Lamm concluded that maternal use
of Bendectin during the first trimester of pregnancy has not been shown
to be a risk factor for human birth defects.
Petitioners did not (and do not) contest this characterization of the
published record regarding Bendectin. Instead, they responded to respondent's
motion with the testimony of eight experts of their own, each of whom
also possessed impressive credentials. [2]
These experts had concluded that Bendectin can cause birth defects. Their
conclusions were based upon "in vitro" (test tube) and "in
vivo" (live) animal studies that found a link between Bendectin
and malformations; pharmacological studies of the chemical structure
of Bendectin that purported to show similarities between the structure
of the drug and that of other substances known to cause birth defects;
andthe "reanalysis" of previously published epidemiological
(human statistical) studies.
The District Court granted respondent's motion for summary judgment.
The court stated that scientific evidence is admissible only if the principle
upon which it is based is " `sufficiently established to have general
acceptance in the field to which it belongs.' " 727 F. Supp. 570,
572 (SD Cal. 1989), quoting United States v. Kilgus,
571 F. 2d 508, 510 (CA9 1978). The court concluded that petitioners'
evidence did not meet this standard. Given the vast body of epidemiological
data concerning Bendectin, the court held, expert opinion which is not
based on epidemiological evidence is not admissible to establish causation.
727 F. Supp., at 575. Thus, the animal cell studies, live animal studies,
and chemical structure analyses on which petitioners had relied could
not raise by themselves a reasonably disputable jury issue regarding
causation. Ibid. Petitioners' epidemiological analyses, based
as they were on recalculations of data in previously published studies
that had found no causal link between the drug and birth defects, were
ruled to be inadmissible because they had not been published or subjected
to peer review. Ibid.
The United States Court of Appeals for the Ninth Circuit affirmed. 951
F.2d 1128 (1991). Citing Frye v. United States, 54
App. D.C. 46, 47, 293 F. 1013, 1014 (1923), the court stated that expert
opinion based on a scientific technique is inadmissible unless the technique
is "generally accepted" as reliable in the relevant scientific
community. 951 F. 2d, at 1129-1130. The court declared that expert opinion
based on a methodology that diverges "significantly from the procedures
accepted by recognized authorities in the field . . . cannot be shown
to be `generally accepted as a reliable technique.' " Id.,
at 1130, quoting United States v. Solomon, 753 F. 2d
1522, 1526 (CA9 1985).
The court emphasized that other Courts of Appealsconsidering the risks
of Bendectin had refused to admit reanalyses of epidemiological studies
that had been neither published nor subjected to peer review. 951 F.
2d, at 1130-1131. Those courts had found unpublished reanalyses "particularly
problematic in light of the massive weight of the original published
studies supporting [respondent's] position, all of which had undergone
full scrutiny from the scientific community." Id., at
1130. Contending that reanalysis is generally accepted by the scientific
community only when it is subjected to verification and scrutiny by others
in the field, the Court of Appeals rejected petitioners' reanalyses as "unpublished,
not subjected to the normal peer review process and generated solely
for use in litigation." Id., at 1131. The court concluded
that petitioners' evidence provided an insufficient foundation to allow
admission of expert testimony that Bendectin caused their injuries and,
accordingly, that petitioners could not satisfy their burden of proving
causation at trial.
We granted certiorari, ___ U. S. ___ (1992), in light of sharp divisions
among the courts regarding the proper standard for the admission of expert
testimony. Compare, e. g., United States v. Shorter,
257 U. S. App. D.C. 358, 363-364, 809 F. 2d 54, 59-60 (applying the "general
acceptance" standard), cert. denied, 484 U.S. 817 (1987),
with DeLuca v. Merrell Dow Pharmaceuticals, Inc., 911
F. 2d 941, 955 (CA3 1990) (rejecting the "general acceptance" standard).
In the 70 years since its formulation in the Frye case, the "general
acceptance" test has been the dominant standard for determining
the admissibility of novel scientific evidence at trial. See E. Green & C.
Nesson, Problems, Cases, and Materials on Evidence 649 (1983). Although
under increasing attack of late, the rule continues to be followed by
a majority of courts, including the Ninth Circuit. [3]
The Frye test has its origin in a short and citation free 1923
decision concerning the admissibility of evidence derived from a systolic
blood pressure deception test, a crude precursor to the polygraph machine.
In what has become a famous (perhaps infamous) passage, the then Court
of Appeals for the District of Columbia described the device and its
operation and declared:
"Just when a scientific principle or discovery crosses
the line between the experimental and demonstrable stages is difficult
to define. Somewhere in this twilight zone the evidential force of the
principle must be recognized, and while courts will go a long way in
admitting expert testimony deduced from a well recognized scientific
principle or discovery, the thing from which the deduction is made
must be sufficiently established to have gained general acceptance in
the particular field in which it belongs." 54 App. D.C., at
47, 293 F., at 1014 (emphasis added).
Because the deception test had "not yet gained such standing and
scientific recognition among physiological and psychological authorities
as would justify the courts in admitting expert testimony deduced from
the discovery, development, and experiments thus far made," evidence
of its results was ruled inadmissible. Ibid.
The merits of the Frye test have been much debated, and scholarship
on its proper scope and application is legion. [4]
Petitioners' primary attack, however, is not onthe content but on the
continuing authority of the rule. They contend that the Frye test
was superseded by the adoption of the Federal Rules of Evidence. [5]
We agree.
We interpret the legislatively enacted Federal Rules of Evidence as we
would any statute. Beech Aircraft Corp. v. Rainey, 488 U.S.
153,
163 (1988). Rule 402 provides the baseline:
"All relevant evidence is admissible, except asotherwise
provided by the Constitution of the United States, by Act of Congress,
by these rules, or by other rules prescribed by the Supreme Court pursuant
to statutory authority. Evidence which is not relevant is not admissible."
"Relevant evidence" is defined as that which has "any
tendency to make the existence of any fact that is of consequence to
the determination of the action more probable or less probable than it
would be without the evidence." Rule 401. The Rule's basic standard
of relevance thus is a liberal one.
Frye, of course, predated the Rules by half a century.
In United States v. Abel, 469 U.S. 45 (1984),
we considered the pertinence of background common law in interpreting
the Rules of Evidence. We noted that the Rules occupy the field, id.,
at 49, but, quoting Professor Cleary, the Reporter, explained that the
common law nevertheless could serve as an aid to their application:
"In principle, under the Federal Rules no common law
of evidence remains. `All relevant evidence is admissible, except as
otherwise provided . . . .' In reality, of course, the body of common
law knowledge continues to exist, though in the somewhat altered form
of a source of guidance in the exercise of delegated powers." Id.,
at 51-52.
We found the common law precept at issue in the Abel case entirely
consistent with Rule 402's general requirement of admissibility, and
considered it unlikely that the drafters had intended to change the rule. Id.,
at 50-51. In Bourjaily v. United States, 483 U.S. 171 (1987),
on the other hand, the Court was unable to find a particular common law
doctrine in the Rules, and so held it superseded.
Here there is a specific Rule that speaks to the contested issue. Rule
702, governing expert testimony,provides:
"If scientific, technical, or other specialized knowledge
will assist the trier of fact to understand the evidence or to determine
a fact in issue, a witness qualified as an expert by knowledge, skill,
experience, training, or education, may testify thereto in the form of
an opinion or otherwise."
Nothing in the text of this Rule establishes "general acceptance" as
an absolute prerequisite to admissibility. Nor does respondent present
any clear indication that Rule 702 or the Rules as a whole were intended
to incorporate a "general acceptance" standard. The drafting
history makes no mention of Frye, and a rigid "general
acceptance" requirement would be at odds with the "liberal
thrust" of the Federal Rules and their "general approach of
relaxing the traditional barriers to `opinion' testimony." Beech
Aircraft Corp. v. Rainey, 488 U. S., at 169 (citing Rules
701 to 705). See also Weinstein, Rule 702 of the Federal Rules of Evidence
is Sound; It Should Not Be Amended, 138 F.R.D. 631, 631 (1991) ("The
Rules were designed to depend primarily upon lawyer adversaries and sensible
triers of fact to evaluate conflicts"). Given the Rules' permissive
backdrop and their inclusion of a specific rule on expert testimony that
does not mention "general acceptance," the assertion that the
Rules somehow assimilated Frye is unconvincing. Frye made
`general acceptance' the exclusive test for admitting expert scientific
testimony. That austere standard, absent from and incompatible with the
Federal Rules of Evidence, should not be applied in federal trials. [6]
That the Frye test was displaced by the Rules of Evidence does
not mean, however, that the Rules themselves place no limits on the admissibility
of purportedly scientific evidence. [7]
Nor is the trial judge disabled from screening such evidence. To the
contrary, under the Rules the trial judge must ensure that any and all
scientific testimony or evidence admitted is not only relevant, but reliable.
The primary locus of this obligation is Rule 702, which clearly contemplates
some degree of regulation of the subjects and theories about which an
expert may testify. "If scientific, technical, or other
specialized knowledge will assist the trier of fact to understand
the evidence or to determine a fact in issue" an expert "may
testify thereto." The subject of an expert's testimony
must be "scientific . . . knowledge." [8]
The adjective "scientific" implies a grounding in the methods
and procedures of science. Similarly, the word "knowledge" connotes
more than subjective belief or unsupported speculation. The term "applies
to any body of known facts or to any body of ideas inferred from such
facts or accepted as truths on good grounds." Webster's Third New
International Dictionary 1252 (1986). Of course, it would be unreasonable
to conclude that the subject of scientific testimony must be "known" to
a certainty; arguably, there are no certainties in science. See, e.g., Brief for Nicolaas Bloembergen et al. as Amici Curiae 9
("Indeed, scientists do not assertthat they know what is immutably
`true'--they are committed to searching for new, temporary theories to
explain, as best they can, phenomena"); Brief for American Association
for the Advancement of Science and the National Academy of Sciences as Amici
Curiae 7-8 ("Science is not an encyclopedic body of knowledge
about the universe. Instead, it represents a process for proposing
and refining theoretical explanations about the world that are subject
to further testing and refinement") (emphasis in original). But,
in order to qualify as "scientific knowledge," an inference
or assertion must be derived by the scientific method. Proposed testimony
must be supported by appropriate validation--i.e., "good
grounds," based on what is known. In short, the requirement that
an expert's testimony pertain to "scientific knowledge" establishes
a standard of evidentiary reliability. [9]
Rule 702 further requires that the evidence or testimony "assist
the trier of fact to understand the evidence or to determine a fact in
issue." This condition goes primarilyto relevance. "Expert
testimony which does not relate to any issue in the case is not relevant
and, ergo, non helpful." 3 Weinstein & Berger ¶ 702[02], p.
702-18. See also United States v. Downing, 753 F. 2d
1224, 1242 (CA3 1985) ("An additional consideration under Rule 702--and
another aspect of relevancy--is whether expert testimony proffered in
the case is sufficiently tied to the facts of the case that it will aid
the jury in resolving a factual dispute"). The consideration has
been aptly described by Judge Becker as one of "fit." Ibid. "Fit" is
not always obvious, and scientific validity for one purpose is not necessarily
scientific validity for other, unrelated purposes. See Starrs, Frye v. United
States Restructured and Revitalized: A Proposal to Amend Federal
Evidence Rule 702, and 26 Jurimetrics J. 249, 258 (1986). The study of
the phases of the moon, for example, may provide valid scientific "knowledge" about
whether a certain night was dark, and if darkness is a fact in issue,
the knowledge will assist the trier of fact. However (absent creditable
grounds supporting such a link), evidence that the moon was full on a
certain night will not assist the trier of fact in determining whether
an individual was unusually likely to have behaved irrationally on that
night. Rule 702's "helpfulness" standard requires a valid scientific
connection to the pertinent inquiry as a precondition to admissibility.
That these requirements are embodied in Rule 702 is not surprising. Unlike
an ordinary witness, see Rule 701, an expert is permitted wide latitude
to offer opinions, including those that are not based on first hand knowledge
or observation. See Rules 702 and 703. Presumably, this relaxation of
the usual requirement of first hand knowledge--a rule which represents "a
`most pervasive manifestation' of the common law insistence upon `the
most reliable sources of information,' " Advisory Committee's Notes
on Fed. Rule Evid. 602 (citation omitted)--is premised on an assumption
that the expert'sopinion will have a reliable basis in the knowledge
and experience of his discipline.
Faced with a proffer of expert scientific testimony, then, the trial
judge must determine at the outset, pursuant to Rule 104(a), [10]
whether the expert is proposing to testify to (1) scientific knowledge
that (2) will assist the trier of fact to understand or determine a fact
in issue. [11]
This entails a preliminary assessment of whether the reasoning or methodology
underlying the testimony is scientifically valid and of whether that
reasoning or methodology properly can be applied to the facts in issue.
We are confident that federal judges possess the capacity to undertake
this review. Many factors will bear on the inquiry, and we do not presume
to set out a definitive checklist or test. But some general observations
are appropriate.
Ordinarily, a key question to be answered in determining whether a theory
or technique is scientific knowledge that will assist the trier of fact
will be whether it can be(and has been) tested. "Scientific methodology
today is based on generating hypotheses and testing them to see if they
can be falsified; indeed, this methodology is what distinguishes science
from other fields of human inquiry." Green, at 645. See also
C. Hempel, Philosophy of Natural Science 49 (1966) ("[T]he statements
constituting a scientific explanation must be capable of empirical test");
K. Popper, Conjectures and Refutations: The Growth of Scientific Knowledge
37 (5th ed. 1989) ("[T]he criterion of the scientific status of
a theory is its falsifiability, or refutability, or testability").
Another pertinent consideration is whether the theory or technique has
been subjected to peer review and publication. Publication (which is
but one element of peer review) is not a sine qua non of admissibility;
it does not necessarily correlate with reliability, see S. Jasanoff,
The Fifth Branch: Science Advisors as Policymakers 61-76 (1990), and
in some instances well grounded but innovative theories will not have
been published, see Horrobin, The Philosophical Basis of Peer Review
and the Suppression of Innovation, 263 J. Am. Med. Assn. 1438 (1990).
Some propositions, moreover, are too particular, too new, or of too limited
interest to be published. But submission to the scrutiny of the scientific
community is a component of "good science," in part because
it increases the likelihood that substantive flaws in methodology will
be detected. See J. Ziman, Reliable Knowledge: An Exploration of the
Grounds for Belief in Science 130-133 (1978); Relman and Angell, How
Good Is Peer Review?, 321 New Eng. J. Med. 827 (1989). The fact of publication
(or lack thereof) in a peer reviewed journal thus will be a relevant,
though not dispositive, consideration in assessing the scientific validity
of a particular technique or methodology on which an opinion is premised.
Additionally, in the case of a particular scientific technique, the court
ordinarily should consider the known or potential rate of error, see, e.
g., United States v. Smith,869 F. 2d 348, 353-354
(CA7 1989) (surveying studies of the error rate of spectrographic voice
identification technique), and the existence and maintenance of standards
controlling the technique's operation. See United States v. Williams,
583 F. 2d 1194, 1198 (CA2 1978) (noting professional organization's standard
governing spectrographic analysis), cert. denied, 439 U.S. 1117 (1979).
Finally, "general acceptance" can yet have a bearing on the
inquiry. A "reliability assessment does not require, although it
does permit, explicit identification of a relevant scientific community
and an express determination of a particular degree of acceptance within
that community." United States v. Downing, 753
F. 2d, at 1238. See also 3 Weinstein & Berger ¶ 702[03], pp. 702-41
to 702-42. Widespread acceptance can be an important factor in ruling
particular evidence admissible, and "a known technique that has
been able to attract only minimal support within the community," Downing, supra,
at 1238, may properly be viewed with skepticism.
The inquiry envisioned by Rule 702 is, we emphasize, a flexible one. [12]
Its overarching subject is the scientific validity--and thus the evidentiary
relevance and reliability--of the principles that underlie a proposed
submission. The focus, of course, must be solely on principles and methodology,
not on the conclusions that they generate.
Throughout, a judge assessing a proffer of expert scientific testimony
under Rule 702 should also be mindful of other applicable rules. Rule
703 provides that expert opinions based on otherwise inadmissible hearsay
are to be admitted only if the facts or data are "of a type reasonably
relied upon by experts in the particular field in forming opinions or
inferences upon the subject." Rule 706 allows the court at its
discretion to procure the assistance of an expert of its own choosing.
Finally, Rule 403 permits the exclusion of relevant evidence "if
its probative value is substantially outweighed by the danger of unfair
prejudice, confusion of the issues, or misleading the jury . . . ." Judge
Weinstein has explained: "Expert evidence can be both powerful and
quite misleading because of the difficulty in evaluating it. Because
of this risk, the judge in weighing possible prejudice against probative
force under Rule 403 of the present rules exercises more control over
experts than over lay witnesses." Weinstein, 138 F.R.D., at 632.
We conclude by briefly addressing what appear to be two underlying concerns
of the parties and amici in this case. Respondent expresses
apprehension that abandonment of "general acceptance" as the
exclusive requirement for admission will result in a "free for all" in
which befuddled juries are confounded by absurd and irrational pseudoscientific
assertions. In this regard respondent seems to us to be overly pessimistic
about the capabilities of the jury, and of the adversary system generally.
Vigorous cross examination, presentation of contrary evidence, and careful
instruction on the burden of proof are the traditional and appropriate
means of attacking shaky but admissible evidence. See Rock v. Arkansas,
483 U.S. 44,
61 (1987). Additionally, in the event the trial court concludes that
the scintilla of evidence presented supporting a position is insufficient
to allow a reasonable juror to conclude that the position more likely
than notis true, the court remains free to direct a judgment, Fed. Rule
Civ. Proc. 50 (a), and likewise to grant summary judgment, Fed. Rule
Civ. Proc. 56. Cf., e.g., Turpin v. Merrell Dow
Pharmaceuticals, Inc., 959 F. 2d 1349 (CA6) (holding that scientific
evidence that provided foundation for expert testimony, viewed in the
light most favorable to plaintiffs, was not sufficient to allow a jury
to find it more probable than not that defendant caused plaintiff's injury),
cert. denied, 506 U. S. ___ (1992); Brock v. >Merrell Dow
Pharmaceuticals, Inc., 874 F. 2d 307 (CA5 1989) (reversing judgment
entered on jury verdict for plaintiffs because evidence regarding causation
was insufficient), modified, 884 F. 2d 166 (CA5 1989), cert. denied,
494 U.S. 1046 (1990);
Green 680-681. These conventional devices, rather than wholesale exclusion
under an uncompromising "general acceptance" test, are the
appropriate safeguards where the basis of scientific testimony meets
the standards of Rule 702.
Petitioners and, to a greater extent, their amici exhibit a
different concern. They suggest that recognition of a screening role
for the judge that allows for the exclusion of "invalid" evidence
will sanction a stifling and repressive scientific orthodoxy and will
be inimical to the search for truth. See, e.g., Brief for Ronald
Bayer et al. as Amici Curiae. It is true that open debate is
an essential part of both legal and scientific analyses. Yet there are
important differences between the quest for truth in the courtroom and
the quest for truth in the laboratory. Scientific conclusions are subject
to perpetual revision. Law, on the other hand, must resolve disputes
finally and quickly. The scientific project is advanced by broad and
wide ranging consideration of a multitude of hypotheses, for those that
are incorrect will eventually be shown to be so, and that in itself is
an advance. Conjectures that are probably wrong are of little use, however,
in the project of reaching a quick, final, and binding legal judgment--often
of great consequence--about a particular setof events in the past. We
recognize that in practice, a gatekeeping role for the judge, no matter
how flexible, inevitably on occasion will prevent the jury from learning
of authentic insights and innovations. That, nevertheless, is the balance
that is struck by Rules of Evidence designed not for the exhaustive search
for cosmic understanding but for the particularized resolution of legal
disputes. [13]
To summarize: "general acceptance" is not a necessary precondition
to the admissibility of scientific evidence under the Federal Rules of
Evidence, but the Rules of Evidence--especially Rule 702--do assign to
the trial judge the task of ensuring that an expert's testimony both
rests on a reliable foundation and is relevant to the task at hand. Pertinent
evidence based on scientifically valid principles will satisfy those
demands.
The inquiries of the District Court and the Court of Appeals focused
almost exclusively on "general acceptance," as gauged by publication
and the decisions of other courts. Accordingly, the judgment of the Court
of Appeals is vacated and the case is remanded for further proceedings
consistent with this opinion.
It is so ordered.
Notes
-
Doctor Lamm received his master's and doctor of medicine degrees from
the University of Southern California. He has served as a consultant
in birth defect epidemiology for the National Center for Health Statistics
and has published numerous articles on the magnitude of risk from exposure
to various chemical and biological substances. App. 34-44.
-
For example, Shanna Helen Swan, who received a master's degree in biostatics
from Columbia University and a doctorate in statistics from the University
of California at Berkeley, is chief of the section of the California
Department of Health and Services that determines causes of birth defects,
and has served as a consultant to the World Health Organization, the
Food and Drug Administration, and the National Institutes of Health.
App. 113-114, 131-132. Stewart A. Newman, who received his master's and
a doctorate in chemistry from Columbia University and the University
of Chicago, respectively, is a professor at New York Medical College
and has spent over a decade studying the effect of chemicals on limb
development. App. 54-56. The credentials of the others are similarly
impressive. See App. 61-66, 73-80, 148-153, 187-192, and Attachment to
Petitioners' Opposition to Summary Judgment, Tabs 12, 20, 21, 26, 31,
32.
-
For a catalogue of the many cases on either side of this controversy,
see P. Gianelli & E. Imwinkelried, Scientific Evidence § 1-5, pp.
10-14 (1986 & Supp. 1991).
-
See, e.g., Green, Expert Witnesses and Sufficiency of Evidence
in Toxic Substances Litigation: The Legacy of Agent Orange and
BendectinLitigation, 86 Nw. U. L. Rev. 643 (1992) (hereinafter Green);
Becker & Orenstein, The Federal Rules of Evidence After Sixteen
Years--The Effect of "Plain Meaning" Jurisprudence, the Need
for an Advisory Committee on the Rules of Evidence, and Suggestions for
Selective Revision of the Rules, 60 Geo. Wash.L.Rev. 857, 876-885 (1992);
Hanson, "James Alphonso Frye is Sixty Five Years Old; Should He
Retire?," 16 W. St. U. L. Rev. 357 (1989); Black, A Unified Theory
of Scientific Evidence, 56 Ford. L. Rev. 595 (1988); Imwinkelried, The "Bases" of
Expert Testimony: The Syllogistic Structure of Scientific Testimony,
67 N.C. L. Rev. 1 (1988); Proposals for a Model Rule on the Admissibility
of Scientific Evidence, 26 Jurimetrics J. 235 (1986); Gianelli, The Admissibility
of Novel Scientific Evidence: Frye v. United States,
A Half Century Later, 80 Colum. L. Rev. 1197 (1980); The Supreme Court,
1986 Term, 101 Harv. L. Rev. 7, 119, 125-127 (1987).
Indeed, the debates over Frye are such a well established part
of the academic landscape that a distinct term--%Frye%ologist"--has
been advanced to describe those who take part. See Behringer, Introduction,
Proposals for a Model Rule on the Admissibility of Scientific Evidence,
26 Jurimetrics J., at 239, quoting Lacey, Scientific Evidence, 24 Jurimetrics
J. 254, 264 (1984).
-
Like the question of Frye's merit, the dispute over its survival
has divided courts and commentators. Compare, e. g., United
States v. Williams, 583 F. 2d 1194 (CA2 1978), cert. denied,
439 U.S. 1117 (1979)
(Frye is superseded by the Rules of Evidence), with Christopherson v. Allied
Signal Corp., 939 F. 2d 1106, 1111, 1115-1116 (CA5 1991) (en banc)
(Frye and the Rules coexist), cert. denied, ___ U. S. ___ (1992),
3 J. Weinstein & M. Berger, Weinstein's Evidence ¶ 702[03], pp. 702-36
to 702-37 (1988) (hereinafter Weinstein & Berger) (Frye is
dead), and M. Graham, Handbook of Federal Evidence § 703.2 (2d ed. 1991)
(Frye lives). See generally P. Gianelli & E. Imwinkelried,
Scientific Evidence § 1-5, pp. 28-29 (1986 & Supp. 1991) (citing
authorities).
-
Because we hold that Frye has been superseded and base the discussion
that follows on the content of the congressionally enacted Federal Rules
of Evidence, we do not address petitioners' argument that application
of the Frye rule in this diversity case, as the application
of a judge made rule affecting substantive rights, would violate the
doctrine of ErieR. Co. v. Tompkins, 304 U.S. 64 (1938).
-
The Chief Justice "do[es] not doubt that Rule 702 confides to the
judge some gatekeeping responsibility," post, at 4, but
would neither say how it does so, nor explain what that role entails.
We believe the better course is to note the nature and source of the
duty.
-
Rule 702 also applies to "technical, or other specialized knowledge." Our
discussion is limited to the scientific context because that is the nature
of the expertise offered here.
-
We note that scientists typically distinguish between "validity" (does
the principle support what it purports to show?) and "reliability" (does
application of the principle produce consistent results?). See Black,
A Unified Theory of Scientific Evidence, 56 Ford. L. Rev. 595, 599 (1988).
Although "the difference between accuracy, validity, and reliability
may be such that each is distinct from the other by no more than a hen's
kick," Starrs, Frye v. United States Restructured
and Revitalized: A Proposal to Amend Federal Evidence Rule 702, 26 Jurimetrics
J. 249, 256 (1986), our reference here is to evidentiary reliability--that
is, trustworthiness. Cf., e. g., Advisory Committee's Notes
on Fed. Rule Evid. 602 (" `[T]he rule requiring that a witness who
testifies to a fact which can be perceived by the senses must have had
an opportunity to observe, and must have actually observed the fact'
is a `most pervasive manifestation' of the common law insistence upon
'the most reliable sources of information.' " (citation omitted));
Advisory Committee's Notes on Art. VIII of the Rules of Evidence (hearsay
exceptions will be recognized only "under circumstances supposed
to furnish guarantees of trustworthiness"). In a case involving
scientific evidence, evidentiary reliability will be based upon scientific
validity.
-
Rule 104(a) provides:
"Preliminary questions concerning the qualification
of a person to be a witness, the existence of a privilege, or the admissibility
of evidence shall be determined by the court, subject to the provisions
of subdivision (b) [pertaining to conditional admissions]. In making
its determination it is not bound by the rules of evidence except those
with respect to privileges." These matters should be established
by a preponderance of proof. See Bourjaily v. United States,
483 U.S. 171,
175-176 (1987).
-
Although the Frye decision itself focused exclusively on "novel" scientific
techniques, we do not read the requirements of Rule 702 to apply specially
or exclusively to unconventional evidence. Of course, well established
propositions are less likely to be challenged than those that are novel,
and they are more handily defended. Indeed, theories that are so firmly
established as to have attained the status of scientific law, such as
the laws of thermodynamics, properly are subject to judicial notice under
Fed. Rule Evid. 201.
-
A number of authorities have presented variations on the reliability
approach, each with its own slightly different set of factors. See, e.
g., Downing, 753 F. 2d 1238-1239 (on which our discussion
draws in part); 3 Weinstein & Berger ¶ 702[03], pp. 702-41 to 702-42
(on which the Downing court in turn partially relied); McCormick,
Scientific Evidence: Defining a New Approach to Admissibility, 67 Iowa
L. Rev. 879, 911-912 (1982); and Symposium on Science and the Rules of
Evidence, 99 F.R.D. 187, 231 (1983) (statement by Margaret Berger). To
the extent that they focus on the reliability of evidence as ensured
by the scientific validity of its underlying principles, all these versions
may well have merit, although we express no opinion regarding any of
their particular details.
-
This is not to say that judicial interpretation, as opposed to adjudicative
factfinding, does not share basic characteristics of the scientific endeavor: "The
work of a judge is in one sense enduring and in another ephemeral. .
. . In the endless process of testing and retesting, there is a constant
rejection of the dross and a constant retention of whatever is pure and
sound and fine." B. Cardozo, The Nature of the Judicial Process
178, 179 (1921).
Chief Justice Rehnquist , with whom Justice Stevens The petition for certiorari
in this case presents two questions: first, whether the rule of Frye v. United
States, 54 App. D. C. 46, 293 F. 1013 (1923), remains good law after the
enactment of the Federal Rules of Evidence; and second, if Frye remains
valid, whether it requires expert scientific testimony to have been subjected
to a peer review process in order to be admissible. The Court concludes, correctly
in my view, that the Frye rule did not survive the enactment of the
Federal Rules of Evidence, and I therefore join Parts I and II-A of its opinion.
The second question presented in the petition for certiorari necessarily is mooted
by this holding, but the Court nonetheless proceeds to construe Rules 702 and
703 very much in the abstract, and then offers some "general observations." Ante,
at 12.
"General observations" by this Court customarily carry
great weight with lower federal courts, but the ones offered here suffer
from the flaw common to most such observations--they are not applied to deciding
whether or not particular testimony was or was not admissible, and therefore
they tend to be not only general, but vague and abstract. This is particularly
unfortunate in a case such as this, where the ultimate legal question depends
on anappreciation of one or more bodies of knowledge not judicially noticeable,
and subject to different interpretations in the briefs of the parties and
their amici. Twenty two amicus briefs have been filed in
the case, and indeed the Court's opinion contains no less than 37 citations
to amicus briefs and other secondary sources.
The various briefs filed in this case are markedly different from typical
briefs, in that large parts of them do not deal with decided cases or statutory
language--the sort of material we customarily interpret. Instead, they deal
with definitions of scientific knowledge, scientific method, scientific validity,
and peer review--in short, matters far afield from the expertise of judges.
This is not to say that such materials are not useful or even necessary in
deciding how Rule 703 should be applied; but it is to say that the unusual
subject matter should cause us to proceed with great caution in deciding
more than we have to, because our reach can so easily exceed our grasp.
But even if it were desirable to make "general observations" not
necessary to decide the questions presented, I cannot subscribe to some of
the observations made by the Court. In Part II-B, the Court concludes that
reliability and relevancy are the touchstones of the admissibility of expert
testimony. Ante, at 9. Federal Rule of Evidence 402 provides, as
the Court points out, that "[e]vidence which is not relevant is not
admissible." But there is no similar reference in the Rule to "reliability." The
Court constructs its argument by parsing the language "[i]f scientific,
technical, or other specialized knowledge will assist the trier of fact to
understand the evidence or to determine a fact in issue . . . an expert .
. . may testify thereto . . . ." Fed. Rule Evid. 702. It stresses that
the subject of the expert's testimony must be "scientific . . . knowledge," and
points out that "scientific" "implies a grounding in the methods
and procedures of science," and that the word "knowledge" "connotes
more than subjective belief or unsupported speculation." Ante,
at 9. From this it concludes that "scientific knowledge" must be "derived
by the scientific method." Ante, at 10. Proposed testimony,
we are told, must be supported by "appropriate validation." Ante,
at 10. Indeed, in footnote 9, the Court decides that "[i]n a case involving
scientific evidence, evidentiary reliability will be based upon scientific
validity." Ante, at 10, n. 9 (emphasis in original).
Questions arise simply from reading this part of the Court's opinion, and
countless more questions will surely arise when hundreds of district judges
try to apply its teaching to particular offers of expert testimony. Does
all of this dicta apply to an expert seeking to testify on the basis
of "technical or other specialized knowledge"--the other types
of expert knowledge to which Rule 702 applies--or are the "general observations" limited
only to "scientific knowledge" ? What is the difference between
scientific knowledge and technical knowledge; does Rule 702 actually contemplate
that the phrase "scientific, technical, or other specialized knowledge" be
broken down into numerous subspecies of expertise, or did its authors simply
pick general descriptive language covering the sort of expert testimony which
courts have customarily received? The Court speaks of its confidence that
federal judges can make a "preliminary assessment of whether the reasoning
or methodology underlying the testimony is scientifically valid and of whether
that reasoning or methodology properly can be applied to the facts in issue." Ante,
at 12. The Court then states that a "key question" to be answered
in deciding whether something is "scientific knowledge" "will
be whether it can be (and has been) tested." Ante, at 12.
Following this sentence are three quotations from treatises, which speak
not only of empirical testing, but one of which states that "the criterion
of the scientific status of a theory is its falsifiability, or refutability,
or testability," ante, pp. 12-13.
I defer to no one in my confidence in federal judges; but I am at a loss
to know what is meant when it is saidthat the scientific status of a theory
depends on its "falsifiability," and I suspect some of them will
be, too.
I do not doubt that Rule 702 confides to the judge some gatekeeping responsibility
in deciding questions of the admissibility of proffered expert testimony.
But I do not think it imposes on them either the obligation or the authority
to become amateur scientists in order to perform that role. I think the Court
would be far better advised in this case to decide only the questions presented,
and to leave the further development of this important area of the law to
future cases.